Kenya Socialist Web Site

 

November 20 2005

 

KENYA: PERSPECTIVES ON THE NOVEMBER 21ST REFERENDUM AND RECOMMENDATIONS

 

Most likely, members of the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) which is campaigning for a “No vote” in the referendum will win on Monday, a victory that is, most likely, going to raise various issues in the post-referendum situation in Kenya. In the event of a No victory, our analysis is that all Cabinet ministers and Assistant Ministers in the government who are aligned to the No camp will be sacked by President Mwai Kibaki. The President has been under pressure from the Mount Kenya Mafia (MKM) to sack all the so called "rebel Ministers" in his government while a kettle of vultures in the “Yes camp” have been competing for nominations to positions expected to fall vacant after the grand fall out. 

 

What will follow is that the sacking of the ODM leaders is going to push them into the opposition where there is a big vacuum occasioned by the failure of the tainted KANU Party to oppose the Kibaki government. The deep crisis that engulfed KANU after it lost power led to a fatal split within the Party with one faction joining the ODM and remnants of another faction accepting positions in the government as bribes in return for support of Kibaki’s unworkable policies.

 

After the government loses the vote on Monday, government business (especially in Parliament) will come to a standstill because MPs aligned to the government cannot pass bills without the support of MPs in the No camp. The abrupt creation of 27 new districts by Kibaki in the run up to the referendum was not just a plan to “bribe voters” or a strategy of “divide and rule” but a long term scheme to engineer the manufacturing of extra seats in a future Parliament especially in areas where Kibaki believes that he has support.

 

The expected paralysis of Parliament, further tension in the government after the referendum and the awaited crystallization of ODM into an anti-Kibaki opposition will greatly destabilize Kibaki’s administration because the Orange team will have a mass based support while the government will, mostly likely, suffer serious isolation due to a history of betrayal of Kenyans who voted Narc in power.

 

The first headache for Kibaki is that after the referendum, the ODM leaders will begin to call for the implementation of the Bomas draft on grounds that it is the legitimate Draft Constitution Kenyans are interested in. Secondly, ODM will come back to haunt Kibaki by calling for the resignation of the government, a vote of no confidence in the Kibaki administration or a snap general election, arguing that after the defeat in the referendum, the government had lost the authority to rule.

 

Apart from Mwai Kibaki who is largely regarded by his pawns as a “Godfather”, the thirteen most important Kikuyu chauvinists and members of the “Mount Kenya Mafia” currently preaching ethnic hatred, running down the country and reminding Kenyans repeatedly that the Kibaki dictatorship is a “Kikuyu government” comprises of the following known economic criminals:

 

1. Mr. John Njoroge Michuki, Minister of Internal Security  

2, Mr. Mirugi Kariuki, Assistant Minister of Internal Security.

3. Mr. Kiraitu Murungi, Minister for Justice and Constitutional Affairs

4. Robinson Njeru Githae, Assistant Minister for Justice and Constitutional Affairs

5. Dr. Christopher Ndarathi Murungaru,  Minister of Transport and Communication, key economic criminal also banned from traveling abroad by both British and US Imperialism.

6. Mr. Daudi Mwiraria, Minister of Finance 

7. Professor George Muthengi Saitoti, Minister of Education

8. Beth Wambui Mugo, Assistant Minister of Education

9. Mr. Njenga Karume, Minister of Special Programs

10. Mrs Martha Karua, Minister of Water

11. Mwangi Kiunjuri, Assistant Minister for Energy

12. Mr. Amos M. Kimunya, Minister of Lands and Settlement

13. Francis Muthaura, Seceratry to the Cabinet

14. Njeru Ndwiga, Minister of Co-operative, also an economic criminal.

 

Other tribal chieftains who have failed their people and who support the government blindly by dishing fake promises to their Constituents to sustain the Kibaki dictatorship are:

 

1. Moody Awori, Vice president, former lackey of former President Moi and current darling of President Kibaki.

2. Musikari Kombo, Minister of Local government and opposition traitor

3. Raphael Tuju, Minister of Information and Broadcasting (also "Angel of death" in Kisumu city and killer of freedom of press)

4. Simon Nyachae, Minister of Energy, wealth and land grabber, economic criminal, former Moi sycophant and traitor of his own people in Kisii.

5. Moses Wetangula, Assistant Minister of Foreign Affairs

6. Noah Wekesa, Assistant Minister Livestock

7. Charity Ngilu, Minister of Health (Boot-licker, key lackey of Kibaki also known to have made begging trips to State House to feed her starving people with yellow animal maize)

8. Danson Mungatana, Assistant Minister for Lands and Settlement

9. Morris Dzoro, Minister for Tourism who also came up with a new system of lining up illiterate Masaais at the the Airport to cheer tourists.

10. Dr. Mukhisa Kituyi, Minister of Industry

11. David Mwenje, capricious sycophant, unreliable and judas iscariot   (kigeugeu-a person who betrays his own people in times of need)

 

There are other traitors from North Eastern province, Coast, Nyanza and Western who could be mentioned later. What is known is that Kibaki will be relying on the above mentioned “enemies of Kenya” whose bad leadership has and continues to divide Kenyans.

 

After the referendum, and assuming that the No campaigners wins, ODM leaders will be in a stronger position to make a huge political impact in Kenya if they can mobilize the masses (who supported the No vote) to the streets.

 

If this mobilization happens, the government will panic and will begin to mobilize the police, the Para-military GSU, Mungiki and other official and unofficial institutions of violence including the army to try and stop ODM from becoming a serious political factor that the masses could begin looking at as an “alternative” to the corrupt government.

 

Already, the government has met Mungiki leaders to prepare the sect’s leadership for the post referendum confrontations with the point of focus being the creation of chaos by Mungiki if the Orange wins the referendum. Unfounded and inflammatory talk by Kibaki’s top men about the Orange team training youths and former Ex-Kenya Air Force soldiers in forests have been reported in the media. This cheap government propaganda and disinformation is aimed at preparing Kenyans psychologically to passively accept the use of unjustified force, violence and State terrorism by the government if Kibaki loses the referendum.

 

The Orange leaders must be prepared to witness the ugliest face of the government and be prepared to deal with any political consequences because in the event of mass anti-government mobilizations and protests, the government will feel threatened and will resort to shooting and killing of innocent demonstrators, mass arrests, detentions, human rights violations, imprisonments or even assassinations of Orange leaders if that is what it will take to enable the Mafia team to cling on to power.

 

Kenyans and the world have witnessed events in Zanzibar where violence was used to quell protests after rigging of elections by CCM (Chama Cha Mapinduzi) and where the military was used to terrorize the Zanzibari opposition. In Ethiopia, a major bloodbath, incarceration of opposition leaders and their supporters and detentions have been witnessed after the Ethiopian dictatorship rigged elections in May this year. In Uganda, our neighbor, Dictator Yoweri Kaguta Museveni, has began a program of arrests, detention, intimidation and harassment of the opposition because the former guerilla leader wants to become the “Life President” of Uganda.

 

In Kenya, the situation might not act itself in exactly the same way. But the most probable scenario is that after the referendum, there will be an outbreak of violence which, we believe, will start in Nairobi and spread to other areas as the Mount Kenya Mafia begins to respond to street protests and internal pressure for the implementation of the Bomas draft, calls for the resignation of the government or demands for a snap General election. A “No victory” will greatly increase the confidence of the ODM leadersip which will begin to see itself as the next government, a situation that will force the Mount Kenya Mafia to resort to desperate means as a matter of political survival. It is here that the instruments of violence at the hands of the State will become handy.

 

A critical point is that other ethnic groups in Kenya will not allow themselves to be dominated, deceived, killed and starved to death by a tyrannical and barbaric clique of blood sucking Kikuyu ruling elite who simply wants to retain power and privileges using a counterfeit Constitution that has been rejected by Kenyans. Regardless of the amount of force the government will try to employ, it will be impossible to stop Kenyans from changing the government once the Mount Kenya Mafia gets a “Red card” at the referendum. Despite his iron-fisted method of misrule, former President Daniel arap Moi failed even to sustain a one party dictatorship after Kenyans said “enough is enough”. Kenyans sacrificed their lives in the streets!

 

The view of KESDEMO is that the Orange campaigners should not compromise or succumb to the whims of the Kibaki dictatorship regardless of the outcome of the referendum. Our view is that the ODM leadership should act in the following directions:

 

1. Go ahead and campaign for the Bomas Draft (Wanjiku) Constitution to be implemented using the mass support they already enjoy.

 

2. Begin an immediate campaign for a vote of  “No confidence” in the Kibaki government.

 

3. Call for a snap General election on grounds that the No vote is a vote of no confidence in the government.

 

4. Begin mass mobilization country-wide especially in all rural and urban areas in Kenya like Nairobi, Kisumu, Nakuru, Mombasa, Lamu, Malindi, Nyeri, Meru, Muranga, Thika, Garisa, Wajir, Mandera, Marsabit, Isiolo, Nanyuki, Kiganjo, Kisii, Kakamega, Busia, Kericho, Eldoret, Kitale, Kajiado, Machakos, Kitui, Taita, Wundanyi, Naivasha, Nyahururu, Gilgil, Ruiru, Kiambu  etc through demonstrations and mass protests in the streets to try and achieve the above objectives.

 

5. Begin a campaign amongst all Kenyan workers to take industrial actions in support of campaigns to overthrow the Kibaki dictatorship.

 

6. Mobilize and prepare the millions of neglected and abandoned youth to join and resist the oppressive and dictatorial regime of Kibaki until victory is won.

 

7. Paralyze Parliament and make it impossible for the Kibaki government to pass illegal and unjustified laws that will further the exploitation and plunder of our country by both wealth grabbers and imperialist forces operating in the country.

 

8. The Orange team should begin a campaign aimed at police, the Para-military GSU, the Armed Forces, National Youth Service (NYS), Game Rangers, Administration Police, the Prison askaris, Forest Guards, Flying Squad, NIS (National Intelligence Services), CIDs and other private armies not to be used by a corrupt government to frustrate the struggle of the majority of Kenyans yearning for liberation of their Motherland.

 

The Mount Kenya Mafia will not be able to defeat a determined people yearning to free themselves from the yokes of Neo-colonialism and dictatorship currently represented by Kibaki. KESDEMO is in solidarity with all Kenyans in the struggle and will do everything possible to advance the liberation struggle of our people from political dictatorship of the Kibaki type, Neo-colonialism and capitalist class rule that has held our people in bondage.

 

"TUKO TUKITAKIKANA TUKIITWA TUTAITIKA"

 

Martin Ngatia: ngatia_martin@hotmail.com

Okoth Osewe: osewe@hotmail.com

KESDEMO Central Committee

 

Published by Kenya Socialist Democratic Alliance (KSDA)
email: harakatips@hotmail.com

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